Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Adam Frazier

Adam Frazier

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge34Height5'10"Weight190 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs San Diego Padres

1:38 AM
Angel Stadium

HR Probability
12.3%
low confidence
Facing

Germán Márquez

RHP
ERA
5.54
HR/9
3.50
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Adam Frazier (33 PA) · Small sample for Germán Márquez (13 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

33 PA

Slash Line
AVG.360
OBP.500
SLG.560
OPS1.060
ISO
HR: 1RBI: 4BB: 6K: 8
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
6.3%
Hard-Hit%
31.3%
Avg Exit Velo
87.1 mph
Launch Angle
14.4°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.327
xISO
.100
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
1
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 33 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 11.7%
0%3%5%8%10%13%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Adam Frazier actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.