Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Adrian Del Castillo

Adrian Del Castillo

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge26Height5'9"Weight208 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs Toronto Blue Jays

12:10 AM
Chase Field

HR Probability
13.5%
low confidence
Facing

Max Scherzer

RHP
ERA
9.58
HR/9
3.50
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Adrian Del Castillo (26 PA) · Small sample for Max Scherzer (10.1 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

26 PA

Slash Line
AVG.346
OBP.346
SLG.577
OPS.923
ISO
HR: 1RBI: 10BB: 0K: 7
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
5.3%
Hard-Hit%
31.6%
Avg Exit Velo
86.5 mph
Launch Angle
4.9°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.304
xISO
.167
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
1
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 26 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Adrian Del Castillo actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.