Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Andy Pages

Andy Pages

BatsRightThrowsRightAge25Height6'1"Weight212 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Colorado Rockies

12:10 AM
Coors Field

HR Probability
16.6%
low confidence

Pages grades 4.2% per plate appearance on home runs, amplified 1.22x by Coors Field's 122 HR factor; Feltner's modest 1.25 HR/9 over a limited 12.1 IP sample offers minimal counterpressure.

Facing

Ryan Feltner

RHP
ERA
7.30
HR/9
2.20
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Ryan Feltner (12.1 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

75 PA

Slash Line
AVG.412
OBP.453
SLG.691
OPS1.144
ISO
HR: 5RBI: 21BB: 5K: 18
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
10.4%
Hard-Hit%
58.3%
Avg Exit Velo
92.6 mph
Launch Angle
18.3°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.376
xISO
.200
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
4
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 61 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 16.7%
0%5%10%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Andy Pages actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.