Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Corey Seager

Corey Seager

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge31Height6'4"Weight215 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Seattle Mariners

11:15 PM
T-Mobile Park

HR Probability
14.5%
medium confidence

Seager's 4.2% home-run rate per plate appearance grades as the primary lever, but T-Mobile Park's 92 HR factor suppresses the matchup to 14.5%; his career 0-for-18 against Kirby across 20 PA adds modest additional friction.

Facing

George Kirby

RHP
ERA
3.25
HR/9
1.00
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

81 PA

Slash Line
AVG.212
OBP.333
SLG.470
OPS.803
ISO
HR: 5RBI: 12BB: 12K: 20
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
17.4%
Hard-Hit%
45.7%
Avg Exit Velo
89.9 mph
Launch Angle
15.7°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.342
xISO
.250
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
4
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 62 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 15.2%
0%5%10%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Corey Seager actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.