Today's Slate/Players/Daulton Varsho

Daulton Varsho

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge29Height5'8"Weight207 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Arizona Diamondbacks

12:10 AM

Chase Field

HR Probability

14.2%

medium confidence

Varsho's 13.2% barrel rate grades 22% above baseline, anchoring a 14.2% home-run probability despite Gallen allowing just 9.7% barrels allowed. The caveat of neutral handedness splits (rather than L-on-R specifics) leaves some variance unresolved.

Facing

Zac Gallen

RHP

ERA

3.60

HR/9

0.90

Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →

CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

72 PA

Slash Line

AVG.262

OBP.333

SLG.462

OPS.795

ISO—

HR: 3RBI: 7BB: 7K: 11

Quality of Contact

Barrel%

5.6%

Hard-Hit%

33.3%

Avg Exit Velo

85.0 mph

Launch Angle

17.8°

Expected Stats

xwOBA

.323

xISO

.117

—

BB%

—

Splits & Recent Form

Handedness Splits

vs LHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

vs RHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

Last 15 Games

HRs

—

OPS

—

Barrel%

Over 56 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History

14-Day Forecast History

avg 14.9%

HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Daulton Varsho actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games

No recent game data available.

How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.