Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Freddie Freeman

Freddie Freeman

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge36Height6'4"Weight220 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Colorado Rockies

12:10 AM
Coors Field

HR Probability
15.1%
low confidence

Freeman's 12.0% barrel rate grades 19% above league average and compounds with Coors Field's 118 HR factor to justify the elevated 15.1% look, though Feltner's minimal exposure (12.1 IP) limits pitcher-specific conviction.

Facing

Ryan Feltner

RHP
ERA
7.30
HR/9
2.20
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Ryan Feltner (12.1 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

85 PA

Slash Line
AVG.282
OBP.341
SLG.487
OPS.828
ISO
HR: 3RBI: 14BB: 6K: 10
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
15.6%
Hard-Hit%
53.1%
Avg Exit Velo
93.3 mph
Launch Angle
16.0°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.427
xISO
.296
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
3
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 68 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 16.0%
0%5%10%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Freddie Freeman actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.