Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Jake McCarthy

Jake McCarthy

BatsLeftThrowsLeftAge28Height6'0"Weight213 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs Los Angeles Dodgers

12:10 AM
Coors Field

HR Probability
11.9%
low confidence
Facing

Emmet Sheehan

RHP
ERA
6.60
HR/9
2.40
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Jake McCarthy (46 PA) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

46 PA

Slash Line
AVG.184
OBP.279
SLG.289
OPS.568
ISO
HR: 0RBI: 3BB: 4K: 10
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
6.9%
Hard-Hit%
27.6%
Avg Exit Velo
85.4 mph
Launch Angle
15.1°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.308
xISO
.147
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 39 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 10.8%
0%3%5%8%10%13%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Jake McCarthy actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.