Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Jo Adell

Jo Adell

BatsRightThrowsRightAge27Height6'2"Weight215 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs San Diego Padres

1:38 AM
Angel Stadium

HR Probability
14.6%
low confidence

Adell's 13.9% barrel rate grades 27% above league average and anchors this matchup; Márquez's elevated 1.33 HR/9 and modest 11.1% barrel% allowed add modest tailwinds, though his 13-inning sample warrants caution.

Facing

Germán Márquez

RHP
ERA
5.54
HR/9
3.50
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Germán Márquez (13 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

89 PA

Slash Line
AVG.310
OBP.348
SLG.440
OPS.788
ISO
HR: 3RBI: 14BB: 2K: 16
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
6.1%
Hard-Hit%
50.0%
Avg Exit Velo
91.6 mph
Launch Angle
18.1°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.342
xISO
.171
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
3
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 64 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 15.0%
0%5%10%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Jo Adell actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.