Jose Fernandez
BatsRightThrowsRightAge22Height6'3"Weight165 lbs
Next Game · Sat, Apr 18
vs Toronto Blue Jays
12:10 AM
Chase Field
HR Probability
14.1%
low confidence
Game Details
See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.
CaveatsSmall sample for Max Scherzer (10.1 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)
2026 Statcast Profile
52 PA
Slash Line
AVG.308
OBP.308
SLG.462
OPS.770
ISO—
HR: 2RBI: 9BB: 0K: 14
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
8.3%Hard-Hit%
38.9%Avg Exit Velo
87.1 mphLaunch Angle
15.0°Expected Stats
xwOBA
.285xISO
.160K%
—BB%
—Splits & Recent Form
Handedness Splits
vs LHP
—
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
—
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
2
HRs
—
OPS
—
Barrel%
Over 52 PA in the last 15 games
Forecast History
14-Day Forecast History
avg 13.9%
HR hitNo HRPending
Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Jose Fernandez actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.
Last 15 Games
No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers
Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.