Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Miguel Amaya

Miguel Amaya

BatsRightThrowsRightAge27Height6'1"Weight230 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs New York Mets

6:20 PM
Wrigley Field

HR Probability
12.2%
low confidence
Facing

Freddy Peralta

RHP
ERA
3.86
HR/9
1.30
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Miguel Amaya (37 PA) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

37 PA

Slash Line
AVG.267
OBP.405
SLG.400
OPS.805
ISO
HR: 1RBI: 4BB: 6K: 9
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
4.8%
Hard-Hit%
19.0%
Avg Exit Velo
83.9 mph
Launch Angle
22.7°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.325
xISO
.107
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
1
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 37 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Miguel Amaya actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.