Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Moisés Ballesteros

Moisés Ballesteros

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge22Height5'8"Weight195 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs New York Mets

6:20 PM
Wrigley Field

HR Probability
14.7%
low confidence

Ballesteros grades at 4.1% HR rate per plate appearance (1.29x multiplier), elevated by Wrigley's 104 park factor, though the matchup is tempered by his small 44-PA sample size this season.

Facing

Freddy Peralta

RHP
ERA
3.86
HR/9
1.30
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Moisés Ballesteros (44 PA) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

44 PA

Slash Line
AVG.375
OBP.409
SLG.625
OPS1.034
ISO
HR: 3RBI: 10BB: 3K: 9
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
16.7%
Hard-Hit%
60.0%
Avg Exit Velo
93.8 mph
Launch Angle
13.0°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.356
xISO
.256
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
3
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 40 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Moisés Ballesteros actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.