Oswald Peraza
vs San Diego Padres
Peraza's 4.1% HR rate per PA (27% above average) is the primary lift, paired with Márquez's elevated 1.33 HR/9 and 11.1% barrel rate allowed; Angel Stadium's modest 97 HR factor slightly dampens the case, though Márquez's limited 13 IP sample warrants caution on true talent assessment.
See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.
2026 Statcast Profile
Splits & Recent Form
Forecast History
Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Oswald Peraza actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.
Last 15 Games
Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.