Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Tim Tawa

Tim Tawa

BatsRightThrowsRightAge27Height5'11"Weight196 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs Toronto Blue Jays

12:10 AM
Chase Field

HR Probability
11.8%
low confidence
Facing

Max Scherzer

RHP
ERA
9.58
HR/9
3.50
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Tim Tawa (41 PA) · Small sample for Max Scherzer (10.1 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

41 PA

Slash Line
AVG.088
OBP.200
SLG.118
OPS.318
ISO
HR: 0RBI: 1BB: 5K: 7
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
3.7%
Hard-Hit%
29.6%
Avg Exit Velo
87.0 mph
Launch Angle
6.1°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.257
xISO
.065
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 41 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 11.0%
0%3%5%8%10%13%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Tim Tawa actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.