Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Yoán Moncada

Yoán Moncada

BatsSwitchThrowsRightAge30Height6'0"Weight220 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs San Diego Padres

1:38 AM
Angel Stadium

HR Probability
14.7%
low confidence

Moncada's 12.4% barrel rate grades above baseline, lifting his home-run odds by 19%, though Márquez's thin 13-inning sample and absence of handedness splits inject noise into the forecast.

Facing

Germán Márquez

RHP
ERA
5.54
HR/9
3.50
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Germán Márquez (13 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

69 PA

Slash Line
AVG.179
OBP.333
SLG.375
OPS.708
ISO
HR: 3RBI: 8BB: 11K: 25
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
6.9%
Hard-Hit%
37.9%
Avg Exit Velo
89.6 mph
Launch Angle
8.3°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.271
xISO
.102
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
3
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 59 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 14.9%
0%5%10%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Yoán Moncada actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.