Vol. I · Issue 19
Sunday, April 19, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Pitchers/Mitch Keller
Pittsburgh Pirates·P

Mitch Keller

ThrowsRightAge30Height6'3"Weight213 lbs

Next Start · Sun, Apr 19

vs Tampa Bay Rays

1:35 PM
PNC Park

Biggest HR threats
Game Details

Full lineup breakdown, both pitchers, park factors, and weather on the matchup page.

Full matchup page →

2026 Pitching Profile


ERA2.86
WHIP1.23
HR/90.40
K/95.7
BB/93.7
Barrel % allowed3.0%
Hard-Hit % allowed37.9%
xwOBA allowed.318
IP: 22.0Starts: 4HR allowed: 1

Pitch Arsenal


Fastball
52%
raw Savant usage: 52.1%
4-seam, 2-seam, cutter
Breaking
34%
raw Savant usage: 33.9%
slider, curve, sweeper
Offspeed
14%
raw Savant usage: 13.9%
changeup, splitter

Bucketed pitch shares feed the arsenal-mismatch multiplier. A batter with elite xwOBA vs the pitcher's most-thrown bucket gets a positive bump; the opposite profile gets knocked down.

Handedness Splits


vs LHB0 PA
wOBA allowed
HR allowed
1
Small sample — not applied to the model.
vs RHB0 PA
wOBA allowed
HR allowed
0
Small sample — not applied to the model.
How to Read These Numbers

For pitching rate stats, lower is better — bars push right when a pitcher ranks elite at suppressing HRs, barrels, and quality contact. Arsenal shares come from Baseball Savant and feed the pitch-arsenal mismatch factor in the model.