Brandon Lowe
BatsLeftThrowsRightAge31Height5'9"Weight181 lbs
Next Game · Sat, Apr 18
vs Tampa Bay Rays
8:05 PM
PNC Park
HR Probability
14.7%
medium confidence
Lowe's 4.4% HR rate per PA — a 38% boost over baseline — anchors the forecast, though PNC Park's 93 HR factor and Rasmussen's stingy 6.3% barrel rate allowed compress the ceiling to 14.7%.
Game Details
See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)
2026 Statcast Profile
82 PA
Slash Line
AVG.286
OBP.390
SLG.643
OPS1.033
ISO—
HR: 7RBI: 18BB: 11K: 17
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
10.4%Hard-Hit%
41.7%Avg Exit Velo
85.2 mphLaunch Angle
15.9°Expected Stats
xwOBA
.356xISO
.191K%
—BB%
—Splits & Recent Form
Handedness Splits
vs LHP
—
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
—
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
4
HRs
—
OPS
—
Barrel%
Over 68 PA in the last 15 games
Forecast History
Not enough forecast history yet to chart.
Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Brandon Lowe actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.
Last 15 Games
No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers
Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.