Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Caleb Durbin

Caleb Durbin

BatsRightThrowsRightAge26Height5'6"Weight183 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs Detroit Tigers

8:10 PM
Fenway Park

HR Probability
9.1%
medium confidence
Facing

Tarik Skubal

LHP
ERA
2.22
HR/9
0.40
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

65 PA

Slash Line
AVG.138
OBP.231
SLG.190
OPS.421
ISO
HR: 0RBI: 6BB: 5K: 9
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard-Hit%
23.9%
Avg Exit Velo
85.0 mph
Launch Angle
5.8°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.254
xISO
.040
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 56 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Caleb Durbin actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.