Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Cam Smith

Cam Smith

BatsRightThrowsRightAge23Height6'3"Weight224 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs St. Louis Cardinals

11:10 PM
Daikin Park

HR Probability
12.9%
medium confidence
Facing

Andre Pallante

RHP
ERA
4.80
HR/9
0.60
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

84 PA

Slash Line
AVG.264
OBP.349
SLG.458
OPS.807
ISO
HR: 3RBI: 10BB: 9K: 19
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
19.2%
Hard-Hit%
51.9%
Avg Exit Velo
90.4 mph
Launch Angle
9.4°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.398
xISO
.246
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
2
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 59 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 13.4%
0%3%5%8%10%13%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Cam Smith actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.