Carter Jensen
@ New York Yankees
Jensen's 19.1% barrel rate grades 31% above baseline, and his 4.0% HR rate per plate appearance adds another 26% lift in this favorable right-field environment at Yankee Stadium (120 HR factor). Warren's modest 10.9% barrel rate allowed provides minimal resistance to the primary drivers.
See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.
2026 Statcast Profile
Splits & Recent Form
Forecast History
Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Carter Jensen actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.
Last 15 Games
Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.