Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Casey Schmitt

Casey Schmitt

BatsRightThrowsRightAge27Height6'0"Weight215 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Washington Nationals

8:05 PM
Nationals Park

HR Probability
11.9%
medium confidence
Facing

Cade Cavalli

RHP
ERA
4.60
HR/9
0.00
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

59 PA

Slash Line
AVG.315
OBP.373
SLG.519
OPS.892
ISO
HR: 2RBI: 6BB: 2K: 14
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
8.3%
Hard-Hit%
52.8%
Avg Exit Velo
91.1 mph
Launch Angle
19.7°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.323
xISO
.142
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
2
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 59 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Casey Schmitt actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.