Today's Slate/Players/Ceddanne Rafaela

Boston Red Sox·CF

Ceddanne Rafaela

BatsRightThrowsRightAge25Height5'10"Weight165 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs Detroit Tigers

8:10 PM

Fenway Park

HR Probability

10.9%

medium confidence

Facing

Tarik Skubal

LHP

ERA

2.22

HR/9

0.40

Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →

CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

61 PA

Slash Line

AVG.283

OBP.377

SLG.358

OPS.735

ISO—

HR: 1RBI: 5BB: 4K: 11

Quality of Contact

Barrel%

7.5%

Hard-Hit%

37.5%

Avg Exit Velo

88.9 mph

Launch Angle

10.1°

Expected Stats

xwOBA

.336

xISO

.108

—

BB%

—

Splits & Recent Form

Handedness Splits

vs LHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

vs RHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

Last 15 Games

HRs

—

OPS

—

Barrel%

Over 51 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History

Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Ceddanne Rafaela actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games

No recent game data available.

How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.