CJ Abrams
BatsLeftThrowsRightAge25Height6'0"Weight191 lbs
Next Game · Sat, Apr 18
vs San Francisco Giants
8:05 PM
Nationals Park
HR Probability
15.4%
medium confidence
Abrams' elevated HR rate of 4.9% per PA grades the matchup's core strength, though his modest 9.2% barrel rate and Houser's sub-league HR/9 of 1.13 temper the case; Nationals Park's neutral 102 factor offers minimal tailwind.
Game Details
See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)
2026 Statcast Profile
81 PA
Slash Line
AVG.364
OBP.469
SLG.682
OPS1.151
ISO—
HR: 6RBI: 19BB: 9K: 11
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
13.2%Hard-Hit%
50.9%Avg Exit Velo
92.1 mphLaunch Angle
16.9°Expected Stats
xwOBA
.443xISO
.255K%
—BB%
—Splits & Recent Form
Handedness Splits
vs LHP
—
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
—
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
6
HRs
—
OPS
—
Barrel%
Over 63 PA in the last 15 games
Forecast History
Not enough forecast history yet to chart.
Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where CJ Abrams actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.
Last 15 Games
No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers
Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.