Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/CJ Abrams

CJ Abrams

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge25Height6'0"Weight191 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs San Francisco Giants

8:05 PM
Nationals Park

HR Probability
15.4%
medium confidence

Abrams' elevated HR rate of 4.9% per PA grades the matchup's core strength, though his modest 9.2% barrel rate and Houser's sub-league HR/9 of 1.13 temper the case; Nationals Park's neutral 102 factor offers minimal tailwind.

Facing

Adrian Houser

RHP
ERA
5.06
HR/9
0.60
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

81 PA

Slash Line
AVG.364
OBP.469
SLG.682
OPS1.151
ISO
HR: 6RBI: 19BB: 9K: 11
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
13.2%
Hard-Hit%
50.9%
Avg Exit Velo
92.1 mph
Launch Angle
16.9°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.443
xISO
.255
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
6
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 63 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where CJ Abrams actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.