Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Colt Keith

Colt Keith

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge24Height6'2"Weight211 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Boston Red Sox

8:10 PM
Fenway Park

HR Probability
10.0%
low confidence
Facing

Brayan Bello

RHP
ERA
6.14
HR/9
1.20
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Brayan Bello (14.2 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

63 PA

Slash Line
AVG.317
OBP.349
SLG.433
OPS.782
ISO
HR: 0RBI: 5BB: 3K: 15
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
8.9%
Hard-Hit%
57.8%
Avg Exit Velo
94.4 mph
Launch Angle
13.1°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.343
xISO
.186
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 52 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Colt Keith actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.