Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Denzel Clarke

Denzel Clarke

BatsRightThrowsRightAge25Height6'3"Weight220 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs Chicago White Sox

8:05 PM
Sutter Health Park

HR Probability
10.4%
medium confidence
Facing

Erick Fedde

RHP
ERA
3.38
HR/9
1.10
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

53 PA

Slash Line
AVG.167
OBP.216
SLG.188
OPS.404
ISO
HR: 0RBI: 6BB: 3K: 21
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
3.4%
Hard-Hit%
48.3%
Avg Exit Velo
92.0 mph
Launch Angle
3.3°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.195
xISO
.029
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 40 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 9.7%
0%3%5%8%10%13%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Denzel Clarke actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.