Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Dillon Dingler

Dillon Dingler

BatsRightThrowsRightAge27Height6'1"Weight210 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Boston Red Sox

8:10 PM
Fenway Park

HR Probability
14.2%
low confidence

Dingler's 3.9% HR rate per plate appearance grades 21% above baseline, but that modest offensive profile combined with Fenway's neutral park factor (99) and Bello's limited track record (14.2 IP) constrains the projection to 14.2%.

Facing

Brayan Bello

RHP
ERA
6.14
HR/9
1.20
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Brayan Bello (14.2 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

66 PA

Slash Line
AVG.268
OBP.359
SLG.536
OPS.895
ISO
HR: 4RBI: 14BB: 4K: 12
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
20.9%
Hard-Hit%
60.5%
Avg Exit Velo
93.3 mph
Launch Angle
9.7°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.485
xISO
.387
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
3
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 57 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Dillon Dingler actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.