Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Elly De La Cruz

Elly De La Cruz

BatsSwitchThrowsRightAge24Height6'6"Weight200 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Minnesota Twins

6:10 PM
Target Field

HR Probability
14.1%
medium confidence

De La Cruz's 4.3% HR rate grades 33% above league average as the primary driver, though Bradley's 1.06 HR/9 and Target Field's slightly suppressive 99 factor moderate the outlook to 14.1%.

Facing

Taj Bradley

RHP
ERA
1.25
HR/9
0.00
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

88 PA

Slash Line
AVG.269
OBP.352
SLG.551
OPS.903
ISO
HR: 6RBI: 11BB: 10K: 27
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
16.7%
Hard-Hit%
52.1%
Avg Exit Velo
94.9 mph
Launch Angle
13.3°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.383
xISO
.271
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
4
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 65 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Elly De La Cruz actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.