Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Everson Pereira

Everson Pereira

BatsRightThrowsRightAge25Height5'11"Weight203 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Athletics

8:05 PM
Sutter Health Park

HR Probability
15.0%
low confidence

Pereira's 4.5% home-run rate per plate appearance grades 41% above league average and carries the matchup's primary weight, though the 28-PA sample remains thin and handedness splits are unavailable. Severino's 1.16 HR/9 offers modest tailwind, but Sutter Health Park's neutral 102 HR factor provides minimal uplift.

Facing

Luis Severino

RHP
ERA
5.59
HR/9
0.90
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Everson Pereira (28 PA) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

28 PA

Slash Line
AVG.269
OBP.321
SLG.654
OPS.975
ISO
HR: 3RBI: 5BB: 2K: 10
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
28.6%
Hard-Hit%
57.1%
Avg Exit Velo
93.4 mph
Launch Angle
18.4°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.444
xISO
.410
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
3
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 28 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 15.3%
0%5%10%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Everson Pereira actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.