Everson Pereira
@ Athletics
Pereira's 4.5% home-run rate per plate appearance grades 41% above league average and carries the matchup's primary weight, though the 28-PA sample remains thin and handedness splits are unavailable. Severino's 1.16 HR/9 offers modest tailwind, but Sutter Health Park's neutral 102 HR factor provides minimal uplift.
See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.
2026 Statcast Profile
Splits & Recent Form
Forecast History
Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Everson Pereira actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.
Last 15 Games
Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.