Today's Slate/Players/Gary Sánchez

Gary Sánchez

BatsRightThrowsRightAge33Height6'2"Weight251 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Miami Marlins

8:10 PM

loanDepot park

HR Probability

15.1%

low confidence

Sánchez's elevated home-run rate of 5.0% per PA grades the matchup up 1.5x, but the park factor of 0.92 at loanDepot and Alcantara's modest 1.14 HR/9 pull it back; the 15.1% probability sits below his raw power profile, though his 47-PA sample warrants caution.

Facing

Sandy Alcantara

RHP

ERA

2.67

HR/9

0.90

Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →

CaveatsSmall sample for Gary Sánchez (47 PA) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

47 PA

Slash Line

AVG.257

OBP.447

SLG.714

OPS1.161

ISO—

HR: 5RBI: 9BB: 12K: 12

Quality of Contact

Barrel%

22.7%

Hard-Hit%

45.5%

Avg Exit Velo

89.8 mph

Launch Angle

19.7°

Expected Stats

xwOBA

.454

xISO

.396

—

BB%

—

Splits & Recent Form

Handedness Splits

vs LHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

vs RHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

Last 15 Games

HRs

—

OPS

—

Barrel%

Over 47 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History

Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Gary Sánchez actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games

No recent game data available.

How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.