Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Jake Rogers

Jake Rogers

BatsRightThrowsRightAge31Height5'11"Weight201 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Boston Red Sox

8:10 PM
Fenway Park

HR Probability
11.4%
low confidence
Facing

Brayan Bello

RHP
ERA
6.14
HR/9
1.20
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Jake Rogers (16 PA) · Small sample for Brayan Bello (14.2 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

16 PA

Slash Line
AVG.071
OBP.125
SLG.143
OPS.268
ISO
HR: 0RBI: 2BB: 0K: 6
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
11.1%
Hard-Hit%
33.3%
Avg Exit Velo
91.3 mph
Launch Angle
39.1°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.147
xISO
.079
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 16 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Jake Rogers actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.