Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/James Wood

James Wood

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge23Height6'6"Weight234 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs San Francisco Giants

8:05 PM
Nationals Park

HR Probability
15.7%
medium confidence

Wood's elevated barrel rate at 19.2% grades 39% above league average and pairs with a 4.4% HR-per-PA clip that projects well above the median hitter, though Houser's modest 1.13 HR/9 and Nationals Park's neutral 102 factor offer modest headwinds.

Facing

Adrian Houser

RHP
ERA
5.06
HR/9
0.60
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

98 PA

Slash Line
AVG.253
OBP.367
SLG.542
OPS.909
ISO
HR: 6RBI: 16BB: 14K: 32
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
25.0%
Hard-Hit%
62.5%
Avg Exit Velo
95.4 mph
Launch Angle
5.8°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.402
xISO
.284
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
5
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 73 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where James Wood actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.