Jordan Walker
@ Houston Astros
Walker's 5.5% HR rate per PA grades 50% above league average, the primary lift here, while his 14.3% barrel rate sustains that edge; McCullers' 11.4% barrel% allowed and Daikin Park's 106 HR factor provide marginal support to a 16.8% projection.
See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.
2026 Statcast Profile
Splits & Recent Form
Forecast History
Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Jordan Walker actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.
Last 15 Games
Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.