Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Jorge Mateo

Jorge Mateo

BatsRightThrowsRightAge30Height6'0"Weight200 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Philadelphia Phillies

11:15 PM
Citizens Bank Park

HR Probability
12.8%
low confidence
Facing

Cristopher Sánchez

LHP
ERA
2.01
HR/9
0.40
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Jorge Mateo (17 PA) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

17 PA

Slash Line
AVG.438
OBP.471
SLG.688
OPS1.159
ISO
HR: 1RBI: 3BB: 1K: 5
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
18.2%
Hard-Hit%
45.5%
Avg Exit Velo
95.9 mph
Launch Angle
17.8°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.378
xISO
.189
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
1
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 17 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Jorge Mateo actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.