Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Justin Crawford

Justin Crawford

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge22Height6'2"Weight188 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs Atlanta Braves

11:15 PM
Citizens Bank Park

HR Probability
10.5%
medium confidence
Facing

Chris Sale

LHP
ERA
3.27
HR/9
1.60
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

61 PA

Slash Line
AVG.273
OBP.344
SLG.382
OPS.726
ISO
HR: 0RBI: 1BB: 4K: 13
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
2.5%
Hard-Hit%
32.5%
Avg Exit Velo
88.3 mph
Launch Angle
-3.4°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.265
xISO
.056
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 51 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Justin Crawford actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.