Vol. I · Issue 19
Sunday, April 19, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

BatsRightThrowsRightAge32Height6'3"Weight215 lbs

Next Game · Sun, Apr 19

vs Toronto Blue Jays

4:10 PM
Chase Field

HR Probability
12.4%
low confidence
Facing

Kevin Gausman

RHP
ERA
2.42
HR/9
0.80
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (0 PA) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

546 PA

Slash Line
AVG.248
OBP.295
SLG.418
OPS.713
ISO
HR: 19RBI: 80BB: 31K: 76
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
7.2%
Hard-Hit%
38.3%
Avg Exit Velo
87.8 mph
Launch Angle
16.3°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.315
xISO
.164
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 0 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Lourdes Gurriel Jr. actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.