Today's Slate/Players/Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman

BatsRightThrowsRightAge32Height6'1"Weight220 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Washington Nationals

8:05 PM

Nationals Park

HR Probability

9.8%

medium confidence

Facing

Cade Cavalli

RHP

ERA

4.60

HR/9

0.00

Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →

CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

84 PA

Slash Line

AVG.291

OBP.333

SLG.405

OPS.738

ISO—

HR: 1RBI: 11BB: 5K: 16

Quality of Contact

Barrel%

5.1%

Hard-Hit%

35.6%

Avg Exit Velo

89.0 mph

Launch Angle

6.6°

Expected Stats

xwOBA

.294

xISO

.083

—

BB%

—

Splits & Recent Form

Handedness Splits

vs LHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

vs RHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

Last 15 Games

HRs

—

OPS

—

Barrel%

Over 63 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History

Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Matt Chapman actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games

No recent game data available.

How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.