Munetaka Murakami
@ Athletics
Murakami's 22.9% barrel rate grades 42% above league average and anchors the probability, while his 3.6% HR-per-PA clip adds modest secondary lift; Severino's 1.16 HR/9 and 6.0% barrel% allowed provide slight headwind but insufficient to materially suppress the matchup odds.
See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.
2026 Statcast Profile
Splits & Recent Form
Forecast History
Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Munetaka Murakami actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.
Last 15 Games
Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.