Today's Slate/Players/Nathan Church

Nathan Church

BatsLeftThrowsLeftAge25Height5'10"Weight180 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Houston Astros

11:10 PM

Daikin Park

HR Probability

11.3%

low confidence

Facing

Lance McCullers Jr.

RHP

ERA

5.87

HR/9

0.60

Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →

CaveatsSmall sample for Nathan Church (46 PA) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

46 PA

Slash Line

AVG.214

OBP.261

SLG.310

OPS.571

ISO—

HR: 1RBI: 6BB: 2K: 12

Quality of Contact

Barrel%

6.9%

Hard-Hit%

34.5%

Avg Exit Velo

84.9 mph

Launch Angle

12.1°

Expected Stats

xwOBA

.234

xISO

.117

—

BB%

—

Splits & Recent Form

Handedness Splits

vs LHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

vs RHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

Last 15 Games

HRs

—

OPS

—

Barrel%

Over 38 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History

14-Day Forecast History

avg 11.1%

HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Nathan Church actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games

No recent game data available.

How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.