Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Nick Kurtz

Nick Kurtz

BatsLeftThrowsLeftAge23Height6'5"Weight240 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs Chicago White Sox

8:05 PM
Sutter Health Park

HR Probability
11.8%
medium confidence
Facing

Erick Fedde

RHP
ERA
3.38
HR/9
1.10
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

83 PA

Slash Line
AVG.215
OBP.386
SLG.308
OPS.694
ISO
HR: 1RBI: 7BB: 18K: 30
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
18.2%
Hard-Hit%
63.6%
Avg Exit Velo
98.3 mph
Launch Angle
15.7°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.370
xISO
.210
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
1
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 66 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 12.3%
0%3%5%8%10%13%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Nick Kurtz actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.