Today's Slate/Players/Oneil Cruz

Oneil Cruz

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge27Height6'7"Weight248 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs Tampa Bay Rays

8:05 PM

PNC Park

HR Probability

14.8%

medium confidence

Cruz's elevated barrel rate of 18.5% (1.36x multiplier) and 4.2% HR rate per PA (1.31x) drive the 14.8% projection, though PNC Park's 93 HR factor (0.93x) and Rasmussen's stingy 6.3% barrel rate allowed temper the case by roughly 7 percentage points.

Facing

Drew Rasmussen

RHP

ERA

1.13

HR/9

1.10

Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →

CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

89 PA

Slash Line

AVG.313

OBP.382

SLG.588

OPS.970

ISO—

HR: 6RBI: 19BB: 8K: 28

Quality of Contact

Barrel%

20.0%

Hard-Hit%

62.0%

Avg Exit Velo

97.7 mph

Launch Angle

8.2°

Expected Stats

xwOBA

.386

xISO

.260

—

BB%

—

Splits & Recent Form

Handedness Splits

vs LHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

vs RHP

—

OPS

0 HR in 0 PA

Last 15 Games

HRs

—

OPS

—

Barrel%

Over 70 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History

Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Oneil Cruz actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games

No recent game data available.

How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.