Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Ryan Kreidler

Ryan Kreidler

BatsRightThrowsRightAge28Height6'3"Weight208 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs Cincinnati Reds

6:10 PM
Target Field

HR Probability
14.2%
low confidence

Kreidler's 4.4% home-run rate per plate appearance grades 36% above baseline, offsetting Abbott's modest 1.15 HR/9; Target Field's neutral park factor and Kreidler's 6.1% barrel rate provide no uplift. The projection carries material weight given Kreidler's small 14-PA sample and lack of handedness splits.

Facing

Andrew Abbott

LHP
ERA
5.85
HR/9
0.90
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Ryan Kreidler (14 PA) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

14 PA

Slash Line
AVG.167
OBP.286
SLG.667
OPS.953
ISO
HR: 2RBI: 4BB: 2K: 3
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
25.0%
Hard-Hit%
25.0%
Avg Exit Velo
86.8 mph
Launch Angle
24.9°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.472
xISO
.501
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
2
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 14 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Ryan Kreidler actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.