Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Sal Stewart

Sal Stewart

BatsRightThrowsRightAge22Height6'1"Weight224 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ Minnesota Twins

6:10 PM
Target Field

HR Probability
15.6%
medium confidence

Stewart's 4.8% HR rate grades 49% above baseline, anchoring the 15.6% projection, though Bradley's 1.06 HR/9 and Target Field's neutral park factor (99) provide modest headwinds to that contact quality.

Facing

Taj Bradley

RHP
ERA
1.25
HR/9
0.00
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

84 PA

Slash Line
AVG.300
OBP.405
SLG.657
OPS1.062
ISO
HR: 7RBI: 17BB: 13K: 16
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
23.1%
Hard-Hit%
50.0%
Avg Exit Velo
92.4 mph
Launch Angle
14.2°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.426
xISO
.320
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
5
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 62 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Sal Stewart actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.