Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Shea Langeliers

Shea Langeliers

BatsRightThrowsRightAge28Height5'11"Weight205 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs Chicago White Sox

8:05 PM
Sutter Health Park

HR Probability
14.7%
medium confidence

Langeliers' 4.0% home-run rate per plate appearance (1.26x multiplier) anchors this matchup, supported by an 11.6% barrel rate that holds steady across season and recent splits. Fedde's 7.9% barrel rate allowed provides modest resistance in a neutral-handedness setup.

Facing

Erick Fedde

RHP
ERA
3.38
HR/9
1.10
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

81 PA

Slash Line
AVG.329
OBP.395
SLG.630
OPS1.025
ISO
HR: 6RBI: 12BB: 8K: 23
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
12.5%
Hard-Hit%
43.8%
Avg Exit Velo
91.8 mph
Launch Angle
18.5°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.368
xISO
.250
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
3
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 64 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 15.4%
0%5%10%15%Apr 17Apr 17Apr 18
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Shea Langeliers actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.