Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Tyler Tolbert

Tyler Tolbert

BatsRightThrowsRightAge28Height5'10"Weight185 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

@ New York Yankees

5:35 PM
Yankee Stadium

HR Probability
12.2%
low confidence
Facing

Will Warren

RHP
ERA
2.45
HR/9
1.00
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Tyler Tolbert (4 PA) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

4 PA

Slash Line
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
ISO
HR: 0RBI: 0BB: 0K: 1
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard-Hit%
33.3%
Avg Exit Velo
74.8 mph
Launch Angle
-35.5°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.181
xISO
.015
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 4 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Tyler Tolbert actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.