Vol. I · Issue 18
Saturday, April 18, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Yainer Diaz

Yainer Diaz

BatsRightThrowsRightAge27Height5'11"Weight195 lbs

Next Game · Sat, Apr 18

vs St. Louis Cardinals

11:10 PM
Daikin Park

HR Probability
11.3%
medium confidence
Facing

Andre Pallante

RHP
ERA
4.80
HR/9
0.60
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

63 PA

Slash Line
AVG.186
OBP.222
SLG.254
OPS.476
ISO
HR: 1RBI: 9BB: 3K: 10
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
2.0%
Hard-Hit%
26.0%
Avg Exit Velo
86.1 mph
Launch Angle
5.6°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.229
xISO
.049
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
1
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 63 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Yainer Diaz actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.