Vol. I · Issue 19
Sunday, April 19, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Pitchers/Bailey Ober
Minnesota Twins·P

Bailey Ober

ThrowsRightAge30Height6'9"Weight260 lbs

Next Start · Sun, Apr 19

vs Cincinnati Reds

2:10 PM
Target Field

Biggest HR threats
Game Details

Full lineup breakdown, both pitchers, park factors, and weather on the matchup page.

Full matchup page →

2026 Pitching Profile


ERA5.49
WHIP1.27
HR/90.90
K/96.4
BB/92.3
Barrel % allowed9.2%
Hard-Hit % allowed32.3%
xwOBA allowed.330
IP: 19.2Starts: 4HR allowed: 2

Pitch Arsenal


Fastball
36%
raw Savant usage: 36.4%
4-seam, 2-seam, cutter
Breaking
28%
raw Savant usage: 28.3%
slider, curve, sweeper
Offspeed
35%
raw Savant usage: 35.2%
changeup, splitter

Bucketed pitch shares feed the arsenal-mismatch multiplier. A batter with elite xwOBA vs the pitcher's most-thrown bucket gets a positive bump; the opposite profile gets knocked down.

Handedness Splits


vs LHB0 PA
wOBA allowed
HR allowed
1
Small sample — not applied to the model.
vs RHB0 PA
wOBA allowed
HR allowed
1
Small sample — not applied to the model.
How to Read These Numbers

For pitching rate stats, lower is better — bars push right when a pitcher ranks elite at suppressing HRs, barrels, and quality contact. Arsenal shares come from Baseball Savant and feed the pitch-arsenal mismatch factor in the model.