Vol. I · Issue 20
Monday, April 20, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Dalton Rushing

Dalton Rushing

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge25Height6'0"Weight220 lbs

Next Game · Mon, Apr 20

@ Colorado Rockies

8:40 PM ET · 5:40 PM PT
Coors Field

HR Probability
17.3%
low

Rushing's 6.1% HR rate per plate appearance grades 50% above league average and combines with Coors Field's 118 park factor to elevate the baseline. His 15.3% barrel rate sustains the case, though limited samples (22 PA) and Quintana's small workload (8 IP) create material uncertainty.

Facing

Jose Quintana

LHP
ERA
5.63
HR/9
1.10
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Dalton Rushing (22 PA) · Small sample for Jose Quintana (8 IP) · Insufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

22 PA

Slash Line
AVG.476
OBP.500
SLG1.286
OPS1.786
ISO
HR: 5RBI: 9BB: 0K: 6
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
26.7%
Hard-Hit%
60.0%
Avg Exit Velo
98.0 mph
Launch Angle
29.7°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.524
xISO
.525
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
5
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 22 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 17.7%
0%5%10%15%Apr 18Apr 18Apr 20
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Dalton Rushing actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


DateOppPAHHRK
Sun, Apr 19@ COL100
Sun, Apr 19@ COL100
Sat, Apr 18@ COL4111
Sat, Apr 18@ COL4111
Sat, Apr 18@ COL4111
Sat, Apr 18@ COL4111
Sat, Apr 18@ COL4111
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.