Vol. I · Issue 20
Monday, April 20, 2026

The Dinger Almanac

··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Hunter Goodman

Hunter Goodman

BatsRightThrowsRightAge26Height5'11"Weight220 lbs

Next Game · Mon, Apr 20

vs Los Angeles Dodgers

8:40 PM ET · 5:40 PM PT
Coors Field

HR Probability
15.6%
medium

Goodman's elevated 4.3% HR rate per plate appearance grades 33% above baseline, amplified by Coors Field's 122 park factor and a consistent 12.8% barrel rate; Wrobleski's modest 1.08 HR/9 offers modest headwind but insufficient to override the context.

Facing

Justin Wrobleski

LHP
ERA
2.12
HR/9
0.00
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsInsufficient handedness split data (using neutral)

2026 Statcast Profile

83 PA

Slash Line
AVG.257
OBP.337
SLG.514
OPS.851
ISO
HR: 5RBI: 8BB: 6K: 33
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
12.8%
Hard-Hit%
51.3%
Avg Exit Velo
94.1 mph
Launch Angle
26.0°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.306
xISO
.187
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
4
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 57 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 17.9%
0%5%10%15%Apr 18Apr 18Apr 20
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Hunter Goodman actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


DateOppPAHHRK
Sun, Apr 19vs LAD512
Sun, Apr 19vs LAD512
Sat, Apr 18vs LAD411
Sat, Apr 18vs LAD411
Sat, Apr 18vs LAD411
Sat, Apr 18vs LAD411
Sat, Apr 18vs LAD411
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.