Jorge Soler
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Soler's elevated home-run rate of 4.2% per PA (1.31x) and consistent barrel rate of 13.3% anchor the 13.8% projection, though Cease's modest 1.06 HR/9 and Angel Stadium's below-average 97 HR factor provide meaningful drag. Career 0-for-23 against Cease warrants caution given the small sample, but seasonal batted-ball profile takes precedence.
See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.
2026 Statcast Profile
Splits & Recent Form
Forecast History
Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Jorge Soler actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.
Last 15 Games
Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.