Max Muncy
@ Colorado Rockies
Muncy's 4.9% home-run rate per plate appearance grades 50% above league average and anchors this matchup; Coors Field's 118 park factor and his 15.1% barrel rate amplify the case, though Quintana's minimal 8 IP sample creates real uncertainty in pitch-mix reads.
See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.
2026 Statcast Profile
Splits & Recent Form
Forecast History
Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Max Muncy actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.
Last 15 Games
Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.