Vol. I · Issue 22
Wednesday, April 22, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Royce Lewis

Royce Lewis

BatsRightThrowsRightAge26Height6'0"Weight200 lbs

Next Game · Wed, Apr 22

@ New York Mets

7:10 PM ET · 4:10 PM PT
Citi Field

HR Probability
12.2%
low
Hit 63%K 67%
Facing

Clay Holmes

RHP
ERA
1.96
HR/9
0.80
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Royce Lewis (49 PA)

2026 Statcast Profile

49 PA

Slash Line
AVG.200
OBP.347
SLG.400
OPS.747
ISO
HR: 2RBI: 8BB: 8K: 14
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
12.5%
Hard-Hit%
54.2%
Avg Exit Velo
92.9 mph
Launch Angle
9.8°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.351
xISO
.151
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
2
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 49 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 11.8%
0%3%5%8%10%13%15%Apr 22Apr 22Apr 22
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Royce Lewis actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.